The Philippine economy stands to lose an estimated PHP2.5tn (USD49bn), in a worst-case scenario assuming that the coronavirus pandemic is not contained around the world and that the global economy falls into a recession. This is according to a discussion paper by the òòò½´«Ã½ (òòò½´«Ã½) titled “Projected Disease Transmission, Health System Requirements, and Macroeconomic Impacts of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the Philippines”.

If the pandemic is contained by the end of Q2, the òòò½´«Ã½, which is the research arm of the National Economic and Development Authority, estimated the economic losses to reach only PHP276.3bn. The Luzon-wide lockdown was initially supposed to end on 12 April, but President Rodrigo Duterte extended it until 30 April.

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